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Voters Head to Polls in Historic Local Elections

May 7 elections test political strength across England, Scotland, and Wales

Category: Politics

Voters across Britain are casting their ballots on May 7, 2026, in a set of local and devolved elections that represent the largest political test since Labour's general election victory in July 2024.

Why it matters: This election is a key indicator of public sentiment toward the current government and could significantly impact future political dynamics.

  • Almost 25,000 candidates are competing for more than 5,000 seats on 136 councils across England.
  • Labour is defending approximately 2,500 seats, posing potential risks for Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer if losses occur.
  • Some of the largest cities in England, including the entirety of London, are holding elections, alongside rural districts and county councils.

Driving the news: Polling stations are open from 7am to 10pm on May 7, with results expected to trickle in starting early on May 8.

  • The first results are anticipated around 1am, with Broxbourne in Halton expected to declare first.
  • Final results, including the Croydon mayoral race, are projected for around 4pm on May 9, and Tower Hamlets around 6pm.
  • Counting rules have changed, meaning results from the Scottish Parliamentary elections won't be available until the evening of May 8.

State of play: The political stakes are high with varying predictions for the parties involved.

  • Reform UK is fielding about 4,800 candidates, closely trailing Labour and surpassing the Conservatives by about 50 candidates.
  • Polling suggests Labour may face losses, with Reform UK and the Greens expected to gain ground.
  • YouGov's final MRP projection estimates the SNP will secure 62 seats in Scotland, short of a majority.

The big picture: These elections mark a shift in the UK's political fabric, potentially moving away from a two-party system.

  • Smaller parties, including the Greens and Reform UK, are gaining traction, complicating the traditional political narrative.
  • The Conservative Party, recovering from its 2024 defeat, faces challenges from multiple fronts, especially in Scotland and Wales.
  • Polling indicates that the Tories may see a dramatic drop in seats, with estimates as low as seven seats in Scotland.

What they're saying: Political leaders are preparing for the outcomes with varying levels of optimism.

  • Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer is bracing for a tough night, acknowledging the potential for substantial seat losses.
  • Reform UK's leader, Nigel Farage, claims his party is the "only true national party" and anticipates a strong performance.
  • The Scottish National Party (SNP) seeks to maintain its dominance, with projections showing they may need coalition support to govern effectively.

By the numbers: Here are key figures related to the elections.

  • Over 25,000 candidates are vying for positions, with Labour defending 2,500 seats, the Conservatives 1,236, and the Liberal Democrats 706.
  • The Greens are contesting nearly 4,500 seats, with Reform UK close behind at around 4,800.
  • YouGov estimates Reform UK could win 19 MSP seats, Scottish Greens 16 seats, and Labour 17 MSPs in the Scottish elections.

Between the lines: The absence of exit polls highlights the complexity and unpredictability of these elections.

  • No authoritative exit poll has been commissioned for the local elections, limiting immediate insight into voter behavior.
  • Analysts will focus on early results rather than exit polls, which are typically reserved for national elections.
  • The fragmented nature of local elections makes it challenging to predict overarching trends from individual results.

What's next: As results begin to emerge, attention will shift to the implications for all parties involved.

  • The first results from local councils are expected to set the tone for the following hours and days.
  • Political analysts will dissect the results to understand shifts in voter sentiment and party strength.
  • With counting continuing into May 9 and 10, the full picture of the elections will take time to materialize.